GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Carolina Core are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chicago Fire II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire II hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chicago Fire II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire II

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

8.9%

Chicago Fire II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carolina CoreLLDDL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Chicago Fire IIWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Carolina CoreChicago Fire II
46.4Attack68.3
42.0Defence46.0
33.3Form47.6
42.0Power53.4
1.59xG2.30
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