Carolina Corevs
Chattanooga
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 7/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Carolina Core are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chattanooga are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
10.1%
Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40