Carolina Ascent Wvs
Tampa Bay Sun W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carolina Ascent W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carolina Ascent W 1-2 Tampa Bay Sun W
Original prediction
Carolina Ascent W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.0% | 51.7% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.8% | 25.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.1% | 22.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Carolina Ascent W
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60