GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Carolina Ascent W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tampa Bay Sun W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.5 against 60.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the USL Super League, while Carolina Ascent W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carolina Ascent W

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

16.2%

Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carolina Ascent WWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tampa Bay Sun WLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Carolina Ascent WTampa Bay Sun W
52.9Attack50.0
70.1Defence67.8
55.2Form57.8
59.5Power60.0
1.09xG0.82
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