GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/27/2024, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Carolina Ascent W are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWDW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Tampa Bay Sun W are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Carolina Ascent W hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the USL Super League, while Carolina Ascent W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carolina Ascent W

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carolina Ascent WWWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Tampa Bay Sun WLWDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Carolina Ascent WTampa Bay Sun W
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.33xG0.89
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