Carolina Ascent Wvs
Sporting JAX W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carolina Ascent W 3-3 Sporting JAX W
Original prediction
Carolina Ascent W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.5% | 48.0% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 26.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.2% | 25.1% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Carolina Ascent W
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40