GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Carolina Ascent W 3-0 Fort Lauderdale United W

Original prediction

Carolina Ascent W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4362.7%47.5%-15.2 pts
Draw4.0222.2%27.0%4.8 pts
Away5.9615.0%25.5%10.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Carolina Ascent W

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carolina Ascent WLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fort Lauderdale United WWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Carolina Ascent WFort Lauderdale United W
55.6Attack16.7
66.7Defence83.3
66.7Form50.0
64.7Power53.0
1.40xG0.96
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