Carolina Ascent Wvs
DC Power W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 10/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carolina Ascent W 1-0 DC Power W
Original prediction
Carolina Ascent W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.0% | 54.8% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.7% | 24.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.3% | 20.7% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Carolina Ascent W
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20