GGOALVIO

Carmarthen Town logoCarmarthen TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds logoTrethomas Bluebirds

SCHEDULED

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Carmarthen Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Trethomas Bluebirds are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Carmarthen Town hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 9.9% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.1%

Model confidence

9.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carmarthen TownWWLLW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Trethomas BluebirdsDDDDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Carmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
100.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence83.3
100.0Form33.3
83.3Power48.3
2.13xG1.36
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