Carmarthen Townvs
Treowen Stars
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carmarthen Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carmarthen Town 2-4 Treowen Stars
Original prediction
Carmarthen Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Carmarthen Town
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Carmarthen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Carmarthen TownWWWLL
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Treowen StarsWWLWL
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Carmarthen TownTreowen Stars
100.0Attack77.8
44.4Defence55.6
100.0Form66.7
85.2Power66.7
2.27xG1.73