Carmarthen Townvs
Newport City
COMPLETEDWales · Welsh Cup · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carmarthen Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carmarthen Town 4-5 Newport City
Original prediction
Carmarthen Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 01:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Carmarthen Town
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Carmarthen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Carmarthen TownDLWDL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Newport CityLDDLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Carmarthen TownNewport City
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.20xG1.88