Carmarthen Townvs
Caerphilly Athletic
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carmarthen Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carmarthen Town 1-3 Caerphilly Athletic
Original prediction
Carmarthen Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Carmarthen Town
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Carmarthen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Carmarthen TownLDLWD
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Caerphilly AthleticWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Carmarthen TownCaerphilly Athletic
73.3Attack40.0
30.0Defence36.7
50.0Form36.7
53.6Power40.9
3.18xG1.52