Carmarthen Townvs
Aberystwyth Town
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 11/7/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberystwyth Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Aberystwyth Town
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Aberystwyth Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Carmarthen TownLWDLD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Aberystwyth TownWDWWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Carmarthen TownAberystwyth Town
74.1Attack91.7
29.6Defence66.7
51.9Form79.2
54.3Power77.8
1.66xG3.34