Carlos A. Mannuccivs
Alianza Universidad
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carlos A. Mannucci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Carlos A. Mannucci 1-0 Alianza Universidad, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Carlos A. Mannucci 3-1 Alianza Universidad
Original prediction
Carlos A. Mannucci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.3% | 50.7% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.1% | 27.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 20.6% | 21.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Carlos A. Mannucci 1–0 Alianza Universidad
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Carlos A. Mannucci
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Carlos A. Mannucci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60