GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carlos A. Mannucci · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Carlos A. Mannucci 1-0 Academia Cantolao, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Prediction record

Final result

Carlos A. Mannucci 2-0 Academia Cantolao

Original prediction

Carlos A. Mannucci

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3566.5%68.1%1.7 pts
Draw4.2221.3%22.1%0.9 pts
Away7.3312.3%9.7%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.7 pts

Projected Score

Carlos A. Mannucci 1–0 Academia Cantolao

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Carlos A. Mannucci

Probability

68.1%

Model confidence

68.1%

Carlos A. Mannucci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carlos A. MannucciDLWLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Academia CantolaoDLDDL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Carlos A. MannucciAcademia Cantolao
33.3Attack30.6
74.4Defence33.3
53.8Form19.4
54.9Power29.5
1.54xG0.40
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