Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carlisle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carlisle 2-3 Worthing
Original prediction
Carlisle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Carlisle
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Carlisle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CarlisleWLWLW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
WorthingWWDWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CarlisleWorthing
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.53xG1.86