Carlislevs
Salford City
SCHEDULEDEngland · FA Cup · 11/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carlisle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Carlisle
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Carlisle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CarlisleWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Salford CityWWWDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CarlisleSalford City
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power50.0
2.06xG1.35