Carlislevs
AFC Hornchurch
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carlisle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Carlisle 4-1 AFC Hornchurch
Original prediction
Carlisle
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Carlisle
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Carlisle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CarlisleDLWLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC HornchurchWWWLW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CarlisleAFC Hornchurch
50.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power89.7
1.24xG1.86