GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Carl Zeiss Jena · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0-0 BFC Dynamo

Original prediction

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0245.2%45.5%0.2 pts
Draw3.6425.0%25.3%0.3 pts
Away3.0629.7%29.2%-0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

FC Carl Zeiss Jena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Carl Zeiss JenaWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BFC DynamoDWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC Carl Zeiss JenaBFC Dynamo
57.6Attack60.6
69.7Defence63.6
57.6Form63.6
60.9Power63.2
1.34xG1.02
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