GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/7/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cariari Pococi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cariari Pococi

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cariari PocociSanta Ana
16.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power80.3
1.29xG1.25
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