GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/15/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cariari Pococi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santa Ana are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cariari Pococi

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociLDWWD

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Santa AnaWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cariari PocociSanta Ana
16.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power80.3
1.29xG1.25
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