GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/13/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cariari PocociMarineros de Puntarenas
16.7Attack61.8
100.0Defence59.8
66.7Form55.9
64.8Power59.1
1.19xG1.50
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