GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/18/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociDLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cariari PocociLimón Black Star
16.7Attack53.9
100.0Defence64.7
66.7Form57.8
64.8Power59.1
1.04xG1.31
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