GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/3/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociWWWDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Limón Black StarDWDWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cariari PocociLimón Black Star
16.7Attack53.9
100.0Defence64.7
66.7Form57.8
64.8Power59.1
1.04xG1.31
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