GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cariari PocociEscorpiones Belén
16.7Attack76.7
100.0Defence42.5
66.7Form58.3
64.8Power58.9
1.70xG1.86
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