Cariari PococivsEscorpiones Belén

Cariari Pococi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.