Cariari PococivsAserri FC

Cariari Pococi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aserri FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.