Cariari PococivsAserri FC

Cariari Pococi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aserri FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.