GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cariari Pococi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aserri FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cariari Pococi

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Aserri FCLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cariari PocociAserri FC
16.7Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power26.7
1.50xG0.99
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