GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/18/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cariari Pococi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cariari Pococi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Antioquia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cariari Pococi

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cariari PocociWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cariari PocociAntioquia
16.7Attack55.2
100.0Defence36.5
66.7Form40.6
64.8Power44.1
1.96xG1.28
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