Cariari PococivsAD Carmelita

Cariari Pococi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.