GGOALVIO

Cardiff logoCardiffvsNewport County logoNewport County

COMPLETED

England · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cardiff · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cardiff are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Newport County are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.3 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Cardiff holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cardiff

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Cardiff has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CardiffWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Newport CountyLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CardiffNewport County
41.7Attack22.2
41.7Defence77.8
50.0Form33.3
46.3Power45.5
1.49xG1.40
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