Cardiffvs
Arsenal U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cardiff are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arsenal U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Cardiff holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cardiff
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Cardiff has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00