Cardiffvs
AFC Wimbledon
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cardiff are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AFC Wimbledon
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40