GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/26/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cardiff MET are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Colwyn Bay are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff MET hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (92.8 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Premier League, while Cardiff MET holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cardiff MET

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cardiff METDW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Colwyn BayDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Cardiff METColwyn Bay
100.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form66.7
92.8Power68.0
1.84xG1.24
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