Cardiff METvs
Cambrian & Clydach
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cardiff MET 2-2 Cambrian & Clydach
Original prediction
Cardiff MET
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.0% | 53.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 23.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.0% | 22.7% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff MET
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20