Cardiff METvs
Briton Ferry
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cardiff MET 3-0 Briton Ferry
Original prediction
Cardiff MET
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.4% | 39.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 26.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.8% | 33.8% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff MET
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20