Cardiff Draconiansvs
Pontardawe Town
SCHEDULEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cardiff Draconians are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pontardawe Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontardawe Town hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring a draw with 11.2% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.4%
Model confidence
11.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00