Cardiff City U21vs
Sheffield Wednesday U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cardiff City U21 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday U21
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.5% | 35.8% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.3% | 24.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.2% | 39.9% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Sheffield Wednesday U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60