Cardiff City U21vs
Peterborough United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cardiff City U21 6-0 Peterborough United U21
Original prediction
Cardiff City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.8% | 40.3% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.3% | 23.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.9% | 35.9% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff City U21
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Cardiff City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20