Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Carapebus are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Zinza are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.9 against 55.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Carioca B2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40