Caracas FCvs
Zamora FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Caracas FC 0-0 Zamora FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Caracas FC 4-1 Zamora FC
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.9% | 46.4% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.1% | 28.4% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.1% | 25.2% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Projected Score
Caracas FC 0–0 Zamora FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Caracas FCWDLLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Zamora FCDLLLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Caracas FCZamora FC
33.3Attack33.3
56.9Defence51.4
36.1Form34.7
44.7Power41.8
1.05xG0.78