Caracas FCvs
Yaracuyanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caracas FC 1-0 Yaracuyanos FC
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 66.0% | 57.6% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 19.5% | 21.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 6.14 | 14.5% | 20.9% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60