GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/8/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Caracas FC are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Puerto Cabello are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 42.5 against 42.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caracas FCDWDDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto CabelloWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Caracas FCPuerto Cabello
33.3Attack28.6
48.1Defence57.1
37.0Form38.1
42.5Power42.5
0.96xG0.93
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