Caracas FCvs
Monagas SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caracas FC 0-1 Monagas SC
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.0% | 46.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 27.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 26.7% | 25.7% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40