GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 4/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Caracas FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Metropolitanos FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Primera División, while Metropolitanos FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metropolitanos FC

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

16.2%

Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caracas FCDWDLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Metropolitanos FCWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Caracas FCMetropolitanos FC
39.6Attack42.4
50.0Defence69.7
33.3Form63.6
43.5Power60.9
0.73xG1.23
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