Caracas FCvs
Independiente Petrolero
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Caracas FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente Petrolero are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Caracas FC hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 20.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Caracas FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60