Caracas FCvs
Fundación Lara Deportiva
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caracas FC 3-1 Fundación Lara Deportiva
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.6% | 44.4% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.4% | 27.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.46 | 14.0% | 28.3% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00