Caracas FCvs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 8/3/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Caracas FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Estudiantes de Merida FC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes de Merida FC hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Primera División, while Caracas FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
14.6%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40