Caracas FCvs
Deportivo Tachira FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caracas FC 1-2 Deportivo Tachira FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Tachira FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.7% | 26.2% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 26.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.9% | 46.9% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Tachira FC
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40