GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caracas FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Caracas FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Deportes Iquique are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Caracas FC hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Caracas FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caracas FC

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Caracas FCLLWDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Deportes IquiqueLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Caracas FCDeportes Iquique
33.3Attack38.9
48.1Defence11.1
37.0Form22.2
42.5Power27.6
1.42xG1.10
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